NFL MVP Odds: The case for Trey Lance

With NFL groups reporting to coaching camp, the subsequent transfer on our finish is to search out the MVP futures value a wager earlier than the season begins. This can be a collection, with 4 to 5 candidates trying like stable bets, to me not less than.

Our first look was at Tom Brady, and we circled again to the betting favourite in Josh Allen for our second goal.

Now we flip to the younger gun with a tantalizing payout: Trey Lance.

Trey Lance’s 2022 MVP odds

Trey Lance is at present +5000 to win MVP on DraftKings and +4000 on FanDuel, the Seventeenth-highest odds amongst quarterbacks.

Why Trey Lance Makes Sense

Of all of the quarterbacks I will be highlighting, that is my favourite worth play by far.

Patrick Mahomes is the true inspiration for contemplating Trey Lance to win 2022 MVP. What Mahomes did again in 2018 was easy: he inherited a playoff staff from Alex Smith and piled up monster numbers in his first season as a starter.

Is Trey Lance going to be nearly as good as Patrick Mahomes? That is not the purpose. Lance is inheriting what I contemplate to be one of many prime rosters within the NFC. The 49ers went to the Tremendous Bowl in 2019, suffered a rash of accidents that saved them down in 2020, received wholesome and made it to the NFC Championship this previous season.

Many of the key contributors and coaches are nonetheless right here. Now, Lance has had a redshirt season to get acquainted with the offense, and it is full steam forward. There are such a lot of nice quarterbacks on this league, nobody is denying that, however I see Lance’s ceiling as one of many highest on the market. He can run, he can go, and so long as Deebo Samuel is beginning Week 1, he has all of the weapons he wants on offense.

Greater than that, this 49ers staff needs to be within the playoffs. It isn’t extraordinary to suppose they may take down Los Angeles for the NFC West title. If San Francisco is among the NFC’s prime groups by January, and Lance places up explosive numbers, why could not he take house MVP too?

Second Yr QB Development

This can be a transient part however deserves some extra consideration. We already talked about how Mahomes, in his second NFL season and first as a starter, gained the MVP in 2018. That’s pancaked between two different memorable second-year QB seasons.

In 2017, Carson Wentz was on observe to win MVP in his second yr earlier than tearing his ACL in Week 14. In 2019, Lamar Jackson did win MVP in his second season within the league.

There’s one thing about that “contemporary face” that draws voters come season’s finish.

Potential Lance Statistics

Whereas faculty stats usually are not predictive, we’ll spotlight Lance’s lone season as a starter with the intention to showcase the kind of QB he’s.

His 2019 season at North Dakota State was a stellar one, as Lance completed with 2,786 passing yards (9.7 YPA), 28 touchdowns, 0 interceptions, 1,100 dashing yards and 14 dashing TDs. 

By far essentially the most spectacular factor in that stat line to me is the 0 interceptions. We talked about it within the Josh Allen piece, however a powerful TD:INT ratio goes a great distance for this award. The competitors is totally totally different, however that is simply phenomenal stuff, and that dashing energy is totally stunning.

Kyle Shanahan has actually executed a great job of scheming up inventive offensive performs, and with a quarterback like Lance on the helm, I am excited to see what San Francisco can do that season. Love him for fantasy soccer, love his season-long props and love him to win MVP at +5000. 

Ultimate Phrase

I like this futures guess. Sure, I highlighted among the favorites to win this award, however that is as a result of their case really is so compelling.

That is the place the actual enjoyable begins. Lance brings super odds and checks off a whole lot of bins I might need to see in a possible MVP. He is in a terrific state of affairs and has been handed the keys. Time to hit the freeway child, deliver us house the win.

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